How might criminological theory and risk prediction accuracy improve by incorporating theory more systematically into risk prediction efforts?

Readings

• Desmarais, S. L., Johnson, K. L., & Singh, J. P. (2016). Performance of recidivism risk assessment instruments in US correctional settings. Psychological Services, 13(3), 206.

• Duwe, G., & Kim, K. (2016). Sacrificing accuracy for transparency in recidivism risk assessment: The impact of classification method on predictive performance. Corrections, 1(3), 155-176.

• Olson, D. E., Stalans, L. J., & Escobar, G. (2016). Comparing male and female prison releasees across risk factors and postprison recidivism. Women & Criminal Justice, 26(2), 122-144.

• Skeem, J. L., & Lowenkamp, C. T. (2016). Risk, race, and recidivism: Predictive bias and disparate impact. Criminology, 54(4), 680-712.

• Ttofi, M. M., Farrington, D. P., Piquero, A. R., & DeLisi, M. (2016). Protective factors against offending and violence: Results from prospective longitudinal studies. Journal of Criminal Justice, 45, 1-3.

Make answer 300 words and end with a question to peers.

Discussion Question:

Discuss whether the following outcomes are likely to be monetary or nonmonetary. Would your evaluation be a cost-benefit or a cost-effectiveness study?

1 Increased staff motivation in a correctional setting.

2 Reduced alcohol and drug use among inmates.

3 Reduced anxiety for police officers.

4 Improved court participant satisfaction.

Reading

1 Practical Program Evaluation for Criminal Justice. Vito & Higgins (2014). Chapter 7

2 Lawson, T., Rogerson, R., & Barnacle, M. (2018). A comparison between the cost effectiveness of CCTV and improved street lighting as a means of crime reduction. Computers, Environment and Urban Systems, 68, 17-25.

3 Irwin, A., Jozaghi, E., Bluthenthal, R. N., & Kral, A. H. (2017). A cost-benefit analysis of a potential supervised injection facility in San Francisco, California, USA. Journal of Drug Issues, 47(2), 164-184.

4 Reynolds, A. J., Temple, J. A., White, B. A., Ou, S. R., & Robertson, D. L. (2011). Age 26 cost–benefit analysis of the child‐parent center early education program. Child development, 82(1), 379-404.

Make answer 300 words and end with a question to peers.